With spring training just right around the corner it’s never too early to take a look at how teams are likely to do. Here is my early take on how the 2011 season is going to play out in the A.L. East:
1. Boston Red Sox - I really love how the Red Sox have reloaded as the only weakness on the team that I can see right now is at catcher. Signing Carl Crawford and trading for Adrian Gonzalez is going to improve both the offense and the defense for the Red Sox in 2011. The Red Sox have the best starting 9 in the American League right now. They also added Bobby Jenks & Dan Wheeler to the bullpen making it ever tougher than it already was. If the Red Sox stay healthy (they didn’t last year), I think they could win the A.L. East by 10+ games.
2. New York Yankees - The Yankees had a hard time finding players willing to take their money over the winter. They wound up adding catcher Russell Martin, righty reliever Rafael Soriano and lefty reliever Pedro Feliciano and I like those moves. But as of right now Ivan Nova and Sergio Mitre are their #4 and #5 starters! The Yankees need to convince Andy Pettitte to come back (he’s 50/50 right now) or they need to make a deal for a #3 type starting pitcher. If they don’t add a quality starting pitcher before the season starts they will be sitting home in October.
3. Toronto Blue Jays - The Toronto Blue Jays have been very busy this off-season. I wasn’t a big fan of them trading Shaun Marcum to the Brewers for 2B Brett Lawrie. But, I did like the move to bring in Rajai Davis who will inject a lot of speed on both the basepaths and in the field. The Blue Jays are going to be an offensive machine once again in 2011. The Blue Jays lost Scott Downs and Kevin Gregg but they acted quickly by adding Carlos Villanueva, Octavio Dotel and Jon Rauch to replace them in the pen. If the Blue Jays’ young starting pitchers step up they might be able to finish ahead of the Yankees in 2011.
4. Baltimore Orioles - The Orioles made some trades and they signed some free agents during the off-season and they have really improved the team. Derrek Lee, J.J. Hardy and Mark Reynolds add power and defense to the Orioles’ infield, which has been upgraded big time. Adding Kevin Gregg and re-signing Koji Uehara really will tighten up the back end of the pen for the O’s this year. The Orioles will be as good as their young starting pitching can take them.
5. Tampa Bay Rays - The Tampa Bay Rays have lost Carlos Pena, Jason Bartlett, Carl Crawford, Matt Garza, Dan Wheeler, Rafael Soriano, Joaquin Benoit, Grant Balfour, Chad Qualls and Randy Choate this off-season! The Rays are going to have problems scoring runs in 2011 unless they add a couple of impact bats before spring training. If the season started right now, Kyle Farnsworth would be the Rays’ closer. The Rays will still have one of the best starting rotations in the American League but that’s the only strength of the team heading in 2011. It’s going to be a long year in Tampa/St. Pete.