2010 MLB American League West Preview
AMERICAN LEAGUE WEST DIVISION PREVIEW
1) Seattle Mariners (2009 record: 85-77; 2010 prediction: 93-69)
The Seattle Mariners have a lot of new faces this season and most of them are upgrades from last year. Acquiring Cliff Lee was a great move and it gives the Mariners one of the best one-two punches in the game with him and Felix Hernandez atop the starting rotation. Ryan Rowland-Smith, Ian Snell, and Doug Fister will round out the rotation. You could also see Luke French and Jason Vargas getting some starts. There is an obvious drop-off in their rotation after Lee and Hernandez, but Rowland-Smith is a good young lefty with a career 3.62 ERA in 252.1 career innings pitched. Ian Snell is finally away from the pathetic Pittsburgh Pirates and maybe a winning atmosphere will bring the best out of him. Fister, French, and Vargas all have good young arms and could be valuable pieces out of the bullpen. Speaking of the bullpen, the Mariners are looking very strong there with David Aardsma closing (38/42 saves last year), the hard-throwing Mark Lowe setting him up, and other talented pitchers like Brandon League and Sean White. Offensively the Mariners are looking very solid. The addition of Chone Figgins (2B/3B) will make a big difference for them, bringing a better bat, glove, and more speed to the team than the departed Adrian Beltre brought them last year. Figgins will be starting the season at second base though, not his usual position of third. Having Figgins and Ichiro (RF) at the top of lineup will give the Mariners’ middle of the order plenty of opportunities to drive in some runs. The lefty Casey Kotchman (1B) and the talented Jose Lopez (3B) will likely be getting a lot of those RBIs that Figgins and Ichiro will set up. Jack Wilson (SS) gives them another solid bat, along with Franklin Gutierrez (CF) who had a career-year in his first year with the Mariners last season. Then they have a legend at DH in Ken Griffey Jr., and although he is nowhere near the hitter he once was he will give the Mariners some decent power and great veteran leadership. The only big question marks in the Mariners lineup are Rob Johnson (C) and the newly acquired clubhouse killer, Milton Bradley (LF). The Mariners are pretty loaded though, and with two ace pitchers, a great bullpen, strong defense, speed, and more than a few good hitters I think they will edge out the Los Angeles Angels for the division this year.
2) Los Angeles Angels (2009 record: 97-65; 2010 prediction: 90-72)
The Los Angeles Angels will be without a few of the star players that led them to a four AL West titles over the past five years. Their ace John Lackey is now with the Boston Red Sox and Kelvim Escobar is with the New York Mets. Chone Figgins and Vladimir Guerrero stayed in the division, with Figgins now with the Seattle Mariners and Guerrero with the Texas Rangers. Although they lost some key players, the Angels still have a good team since they made some moves themselves and Manager Mike Scioscia has proven he can bring the best out of his players. They picked up Hideki Matsui (DH), Joel Pineiro (SP), and Fernando Rodney (RHP). Matsui gives them a great all-around hitter at DH, while Pinerio will make their starting rotation much stronger. Rodney also strengthens their pitching, as he is a former closer and knows how to get outs. Jared Weaver will be the ace of their staff with Lackey gone, and Earvin Santana will be the number two starter. Joe Saunders, Scott Kazmir, and Pineiro round out the starting rotation, while Scott Shields will be the set-up man for left-handed closer Brian Fuentes (48/55 saves in ‘09). Overall, the Angels are pretty stacked when it comes to pitching, but will they have enough offense to go along with it? I mentioned Matsui being a good DH, but he is getting up there in age, as is Bobby Abreu (RF) and Torri Hunter (CF). Abreu and Hunter still put up good numbers last season, but they might start to drop-off more this season. Kendry Morales (1B) had a breakout year last season and will likely be their best hitter this year. Juan Rivera (LF) had a nice resurgence last season, and if he can stay healthy he will provide another weapon in their lineup. Howie Kendrick (2B) and Erick Aybar (SS) are both good hitters, but Kendrick hasn’t proven he can do it for a full season. Mike Napoli (C) is one of the better hitting catchers in the league and prospect Brandon Wood (3B) is talented, but hasn’t proven anything at the big league level yet. Overall, the Angels offense looks very good on paper and they definitely have the tools to win another AL West title. The age and durability of their outfielders has me a little skeptical though. Also I think they are going to really miss Lackey, Guerrero, and Figgins.
3) Texas Rangers (2009 record: 87-75; 2010 prediction: 85-77)
The Texas Rangers could very well win this division, but it’s not very likely. A lot of things would have to go right, but mainly they need to stay healthy. Unfortunately for them, three of their main players are extremely injury prone. The Rangers traded Kevin Millwood, so they signed Rich Harden. Harden has great stuff, but the guy can never last a full season. They also acquired the 35-year-old Vladimir Guerrero (DH), who is still a great hitter but only played 100 games last season with the Los Angeles Angels and has had injury problems the past few seasons. Then there is Josh Hamilton (LF), who was the come-back player of the year in 2008, but only played 89 injury-plagued games last season and has already had some injury issues (hand, shoulder) this spring. If those three guys don’t stay healthy, then the Rangers have no chance in this division. To go along with Harden in the starting rotation, there will be Scott Feldman, C.J. Wilson, Colby Lewis, and Matt Harrison. Feldman will be the number one guy and is coming off a 17-8 season. Wilson had a 2.81 ERA in 73.2 innings last season, while Lewis has pitched great the past two seasons in Japan. Brandon McCarthy is a talented pitcher and he will get some starts this season, but the Rangers are starting him out in AAA for now. The starting rotation is decent, but they will have to rely on their bullpen a fair amount and the offense will have to score a lot of runs. Good thing for them that their bullpen is very strong with guys like Frank Francisco (CL), Darren Oliver, and Neftali Feliz. Hamilton, Guerrero, Michael Young (3B), and Ian Kinsler (2B) will do a lot of damage with their bats for the Rangers. Julio Borbon (CF) and Elvis Andrus (SS) are also very capable hitters, but they are also very young. Chris Davis (1B) is another good young talent, but hasn’t shown as much with his bat as Borbon and Andrus. Don’t expect too much offense out of Jarrod Saltalamaccia (C) either. Overall, the Rangers have a very solid club (if they stay healthy), but the Mariners and Rangers have more of a complete package.
4) Oakland Athletics (2009 record: 75-87; 2010 prediction: 72-90)
The Oakland Athletics don’t exactly have a terrible team, they are just in a very tough division and aren’t up to the same level as the other three teams. Their biggest strength this year is definitely their bullpen, as it was last year. They have a very good closer in last year’s Rookie of the Year, Andrew Bailey. Guys like Brad Ziegler and Michael Wuertz are great set-up men for Bailey. Joey Devine and Craig Breslow also know how to get outs and have put up some very nice numbers in recent years. The bullpen may get worn out this season though since the starting rotation is not looking very impressive. They have one very reliable starter in Ben Sheets, who is their number one guy. Sheets had a good season last year with the Milwaukee Brewers, going 13-9 with a 3.09 ERA. After that it is a lot of very young arms. Dallas Braden is the number two guy, and he had a much improved season in his third year in ‘09 but is still a little unproven. Trevor Cahill, Vin Mazzaro, and Brett Anderson look like they will start the season in the rotation. Those three are all in their second season. The offense doesn’t look much more promising than the starting pitching either, as Rajai Davis (CF) is the only starter who hit over .300 last season. They do have a lot of good young talent, so a few guys could have some breakout years. Young guys like Ryan Sweeney (RF), Kurt Suzuki (C), Cliff Pennington (SS), Daric Barton (1B), and Adam Rosales (3B). Those guys will rely on some veteran leadership from Jack Cust (DH), Mark Ellis (2B), and the new guys Coco Crisp (CF) and Kevin Kouzmanoff (3B). If the young talent plays up to their potential, the A’s could be much better than expected, but I don’t think they have a chance in this division.

